Diaman Partners Predicts Bitcoin's Next Bottom Between $60,000 and $80,000
Diaman Partners, a firm recognized for its in-depth quantitative financial analysis, has released a significant projection regarding Bitcoin's next market cycle bottom. Leveraging sophisticated Monte Carlo simulations in conjunction with the cryptocurrency's established 200-week moving average, their analysis indicates a remarkably elevated floor for the digital asset in its upcoming bearish phase.
The firm's findings suggest that the anticipated lowest price point for Bitcoin in its subsequent market downturn could range from $60,000 to $80,000. This forecast for a new cycle trough is considerably higher than historical bottoms, which have typically represented much deeper corrections from preceding all-time highs. This implies a potential maturation of the asset class. The analytical methodology employed by Diaman Partners is robust, combining two powerful quantitative tools. Monte Carlo simulations are crucial for modeling thousands of potential price path scenarios, allowing for the incorporation of various market volatilities and trend dynamics, thereby providing a probabilistic range for future price movements rather than a singular prediction. Simultaneously, the 200-week moving average (WMA) is a widely respected long-term technical indicator in cryptocurrency markets, frequently serving as a strong support level during extended bear markets and often signaling macro market bottoms for Bitcoin.
Analysis Highlights Elevated Bitcoin Floor by 2026
The projection from Diaman Partners specifies that this predicted price range could materialize by 2026. If this elevated floor holds true, it would significantly underscore a maturing market and increased institutional adoption, suggesting that Bitcoin's fundamental value proposition and market structure are strengthening over time. Historically, previous cycle bottoms have seen Bitcoin correct dramatically from its peak values, often finding robust support around or even below its 200-WMA before initiating a new bullish rally. This new, higher estimate implies a profound structural shift in how Bitcoin's price discovery mechanisms operate, potentially reflecting increased liquidity and broader investor confidence.